The Weak In Rock

Ok, I cannot help myself.  I have to pile on with everyone else who is guffawing at Barry Zito’s recent demotion to the bullpen by the Giants.  I make no secret of this, I loathe the SF Giants.  There are worse teams in Major League Baseball, but I’d wager there are no worse run teams that have the sort of resources at their disposal that the Giants have.  Case in point - Zito.

The Giants are now, at least temporarily, paying $18 million a year for a mediocre long reliever.  They’re saying they’ve moved Zito to the bullpen so that he can work out his mechanics and return to the rotation.  Thing is, there’s nothing wrong with Zito’s mechanics.  His dramatic 12 to 6 curve ball just isn’t being called for strikes by the umps, and without that curve Zito is left to rely on a feeble fastball, a bush-league slider and a pretty impressive change-up to make it through an opponent’s line-up.  If you’re a big league hitter and you see that the umps aren’t going to give him the curve (traditionally Zito’s out pitch) for a strike then you can sit fastball and tattoo it when he serves it up for you.

The irony here is that Tim Lincecum, is currently sporting one of the best ERA’s in the National League, has won 4 games (that’s doubly impressive when you consider the tepid hitters, and mediocre defensive players the Giants are fielding this season) and is doing it all for a little more than 1/10th what Zito is getting paid.

The Giants signed Zito because their front office apparently does not understand baseball fans at all.  They signed Zito to try to balance out the impending loss in star power they knew they were going to suffer when Barry Bonds left for free agency.  The trouble with that theory of running a baseball team is that while Barry Bonds may have had sufficient star power and draw to distract fans from the poor performance of the team, Zito was never going to be close to that, and what really matters to any sports fan isn’t the names printed on the jerseys, it’s winning.

We invest our egos in our favorite teams.  When they lose we feel like losers.  When they win we take credit and carry that around as if we’d done more than just scarf down hot dogs and drink beer.  The Giants have two very talented home grown pitchers, Matt Cain and the aforementioned Lincecum.  It stands to reason that there’s other talent in the Giants organization, or at the very least that their scouts know where to find young, inexpensive talent.  This is one of the biggest reasons I hate the Giants.  They consistently rely on overpriced, under-performing veterans to flesh out their roster.  That’s a questionable move with hitters/fielders.  It’s brain-dead with pitchers.  It’s likely that Zito’s curve doesn’t cross the plate anymore because he no longer has the strength or flexibility to throw it with the proper bite.  Mechanical tweaking isn’t going to fix that.

Technorati Tags: Barry Zito, SF Giants, Major League Baseball, Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain

This is just too funny not to comment on.

Barry Zito has now tied the record for most consecutive opening day losses for a starting pitcher at four. Who did he tie?  Rick Reuschel.    Another pitcher who wore a Giants uniform, and who was mostly mediocre in his career with a few years where he was pretty great.  Yup.  That’s Zito.

I’ve said it before many times.  Zito is overrated and does not deserve top billing in anyone’s rotation.  Yes, he has a brilliant curve ball, but if the umps aren’t calling it for a strike the guy’s got nothing to fall back on.  He throws a great change-up, but the fastball that’s supposed to set it off is one of the worst to come out of the hand of a big league pitcher.  If the hitters are able to sit fastball on Zito because the umps aren’t calling his curve for a strike they’ll light him up, just like the Dodgers did tonight.

This is going to be a rough season to be an A’s fan, but we can be consoled by reminding ourselves that at least we’re not rooting for what looks like the worst Giants lineup in a decade.  Actually, I don’t feel the most sorry for Giants fans.  I feel the most sorry for Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum.  On any other team these two would be a great one-two punch in the starting rotation, but with the team they’re pitching for Cain and Lincecum are mostly going to just get really good at maintaining a stiff upper lip in the face of an endless stream of losses.  At least for them no one is going to be screaming about their inflated salaries.  That honor will go to Zito.

Technorati Tags: Barry Zito, Rick Reuschel, Giants, Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum

If the story that ESPN ran today in which John Rocker claimed that not only MLB and the MLBPA knew about his performance enhancing drug use in 2000, but actually gave him advice on how to do it effectively then MLB can kiss their anti-trust exemption bye-bye.

I have no doubt in my mind that Congress will subpoena Rocker to testify before them, and come down on Bud Selig and the league like a proverbial ton of bricks.

As I’ve said many times, I don’t care about drug use in sports.  I find the subject tedious and overblown by lazy reporters who can’t think of anything else to write about, but considering the sheer amount of bald-faced lying that the league has done to the US government about the subject and the lack of patience for such things among legislators it won’t surprise me at all if Congress makes good on their threat from several years back to revoke the anti-trust exemption from baseball.

While I’d love to see Bud Selig and Donald Fehr twist in the wind, the economics of professional baseball make it very unlikely that MLB minus its anti-trust exemption would be a viable business in many of the cities that now have MLB teams (including Oakland).  So, this development is not a good one for fans.

On the other hand, John Rocker has been demonstrably full of shit for a long time, and this may just be his way of trying to make himself into a poor man’s Jose Canseco.

Technorati Tags: John Rocker, MLB, MLBPA, anti-trust exemption, Congress, Bud Selig, Donald Fehr, Oakland, Jose Canseco

Well, they did it again.  It was something of a given that the Red Sox were going to win the World Series again this year, but why, oh, why did they have to do it with another sweep.  Red Sox fans are annoying and arrogant enough as it is.  They do not need the encouragement provided by their team not simply winning their second World Series in three years, but by winning their second via a sweep in such a short amount of time.

Still, it’s rather amusing that in a roundabout way the Yankees upstaged this Red Sox victory when it was announced during the 7th inning of the game last night that Alex Rodriguez had opted out of the remainder of his contract with the Yankees.  The happiest people on earth to hear that news will be the folks in the front office of the Texas Rangers, who were just let off the hook for $21 million dollars that they would have had to pay to the Yankees if A-Rod had stayed with them for the remainder of the contract.  Second happiest, unfortunately, are the folks in the front office of the Boston Red Sox who are, no doubt, already negotiating with Scott Boras, A-Rod’s agent, to bring him to Boston.

Technorati Tags: Red Sox, sweep, Yankees, Alex Rodriguez, Texas Rangers, Scott Boras

Barry Bonds hit 756 last night and I literally couldn’t stand to watch it. I was out of the room when it happened and Ryan came running in, very excitedly to tell me. I came out into the living room and saw Barry jog around 3rd and make it to home with all the fireworks and streamers falling all over the ballpark, and it honestly just gave me a sick feeling in my stomach.

I honestly and truly do not care about use of performance enhancing drugs. I’ve said “so what” to that argument so many times I’m tired of hearing myself say it. Granted, Bonds is a talented hitter with better hand/eye coordination than anyone I’ve ever seen play the game, but he’s still a jackass. I find it impossible to root for him and I found the spectacle the Giants staged surrounding that home run hit beyond excessive. I guess Peter McGowan wanted to make sure the fans got their money’s worth out of seeing what is ultimately not a very interesting or remarkable thing - a ball hit into the stands at a professional baseball game.

You might disagree with me, but folks Marco Scutaro hit a grand slam the other day for the A’s against Texas. Scutaro wasn’t even signed by the A’s to be an everyday player (although he pretty much has been the past three years because the A’s infielders have been so damned injury-prone). Marco seems like a nice guy, and he certainly seems like a hard working ball player who takes his job seriously, but I guarantee you that the elite pitchers in the majors do not fear his bat.

What it comes down to is this - forget steroids and conspiracy theories about juiced baseballs - home runs are easier to come by in the current era of baseball for two big reasons:

1. There are too many teams and too many jobs for starting and relief pitchers.
2. Major League Baseball markets the long ball to death.

On the first point, there are 30 big league clubs now. Up until the mid-1960s there were 16 teams. Also, in the current era of baseball the 5 man starting rotation has been adopted by everyone. Let’s not even get into the craziness that is specialized relievers and closers. Back in the 16 team era the standard rotation was 3 guys, with a handful of relievers in the mix, none of them specialists. If you confine yourself to just the starters, in the old days there were jobs for 48 starting pitchers in the big leagues. To get one of those jobs you had to be damned good. Even feeble teams like the old Washington Senators had impressive starters who could outwit most batters for 6 or 7 innings. Today there are more than 3 times that number of starting pitchers. But the available talent pool is really no deeper than it ever was. In fact, considering the declining popularity of professional baseball and the fact that there are no full-ride scholarships for college baseball (compared to hundreds available for football and basketball players), the depth of talent for young pitchers today compared to the number of jobs available in the bigs is darned shallow.

Now, you can argue that the talent pool is deeper today because of all the international players from the Dominican Republic, Venezuela, Mexico and Japan, but I say bah and feh unto that. Other than guys who have come over from playing in the Japanese majors or the occasional Cuban defector, these guys haven’t really altered the pitching landscape much at all. Sure, you’ve got Pedro Martinez in there, but the vast majority of pitchers from the DR are undisciplined guys who throw smoke until their arms rapidly go to shit. And the Japanese players aren’t available until they reach the halfway point in their pro careers in Japan, so what we typically see is someone like a Hideo Nomo who is brilliant for a year or two and then goes to crap. The main thing the Central and South American pitchers contribute is keeping pitchers’ salaries low, because they’ll sign for much less than a comparable American prospect.

What I’m getting at is that Bonds has broken this record (and his record will not stand long) because it’s an eminently attainable record in today’s game. Sure, performance enhancing drugs have probably allowed Barry to play longer than his body would have naturally, but as my mother says, “steroids don’t hit the baseball for you.” He’s got talent and no one can or should deny that. But up against an equally gifted pitcher every day he’s not going to get anywhere near 756 home runs. After all, Greg Maddux made Barry look foolish this past Friday, sending him to the showers 0 for 4, and Maddux is far from the peak of his talents.

Barry got HR 756 off of Mike Bacsik, whose record for the Nationals this season is 5 wins and 6 loses out of 15 starts. His ERA is 4.47 this season and in his six years in and out of the big leagues he’s been bounced between 4 different teams, ending up this season with the Nationals, a club that seems to be fine with putting anyone with a pulse on the mound. Unless the number of teams is dramatically reduced or there is some sort of magical influx of gifted starters that comes into the game not only will Bonds’ new record not stand (something he understands himself and has publicly spoken about) but it will likely be broken in a few short years by Alex Rodriguez, who set his own record a few days ago as the fastest to 500 home runs, largely because he too faces more mediocre and downright lousy pitchers than good ones in any given season.

Ultimately I couldn’t watch the post-record spectacle because the whole thing is witless hyperbole. In an era when players can play well beyond the age when they would have been expected to retire a generation ago (for whatever reason) and where the overall talent of the pitchers is questionable at best hitting home runs just is not very special. It’s not a record that makes me want to cheer. So that I saw so little of the event last night doesn’t bother me a bit. In contrast I’m genuinely bummed that I missed seeing Tom Glavine get his 300th win. Glavine’s record is utterly unlike the home run record. If baseball doesn’t change dramatically these home run records are going to fall repeatedly during the next decade or two, while in contrast the same things that make home run records progressively less special make getting to 300 wins as a starting pitcher even more rare and impressive.

With the 5 man rotation and piles of relievers on every bench in MLB it’s going to be pretty much impossible for anyone to make it to 300 wins in a career. Your average starter just does not start enough games (or get deep enough into them to get credited with a win) nowadays. Glavine may be one of the last people to ever reach this plateau.  Baseball fans seem to understand that.  National TV ratings for Glavine’s 300th win were better than ratings for the game in which Bonds tied Aaron’s record.  Baseball fans know the difference between rare and common.  Unfortunately, Major League Baseball does not.

The marketing for Bonds’ record setter was absurd.  Subtract the chase of this record from the Giants’ 2007 season and no one, apart of die-hard Giants fans, has much interest in watching the team play this year.  To say that they stink is a massive understatement.  The other Barry in a Giants uniform (Zito) started last night, and he was feeble.   Zito, the Giants’ supposed staff ace has been eminently hittable all season.  If anyone needs proof, the Nationals, one of the least talented clubs in professional baseball, beat him handily last night.

If Barry Zito is representative of current big league pitchers worth $126 million over seven years then honestly, I rest my case.  Zito’s ERA so far this season is worse than the hack Bonds got his 756th homer off of last night, at 5.16.  Zito has 8 wins and 10 losses out of 23 starts this year.  If that’s what’s worth $18 million a year as a starter these days then we can be absolutely certain to see Bonds’ home run record fall and watch him sink into third, fourth and fifth place in the record books before this era is through.

Technorati Tags: Barry Bonds, Giants, Peter McGowan, Marco Scutaro, the A’s, Major League Baseball, Washington Senators, Pedro Martinez, Hideo Nomo, Greg Maddux, Mike Bacsik, the Nationals, Alex Rodriguez, Tom Glavine, Zito, Barry Zito